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Election
Night update
Nail
biting time has finally arrived
11:00
237 EV p.m.
A.H.
Jaffor Ullah
Bush 246 EV
versus Kerry 216 EV
Nail biting time has come for both
Kerry and Bush�s supporter. Who
will get the required 271 EV? Some
may say that since Bush has already received therefore he will get the
additional 34 EV to wrap up his campaign to win the White House for four
additional years. Therefore, Bush
has to win the Buckeye state (
Ohio
) at all cost. But still then, he
will need 14 additional EV. Where
those are going to come from?
The state of
Alaska
will add only 3 EV. The state of
Colorado
if he wins will give him 9 more EV (the state went to Bush as I was writing
this article. He still will be shy
of 2 EV. That leaves
New Hampshire
(4 EV),
New Mexico
(5 EV),
Nevada
(5 EV), and
Hawaii
(4 EV). The other upper Midwestern
states such as
Iowa
(7 EV), Wisconsin (10 EV), and
Michigan
17) are still in the play but they are not coming to Bush�s side unless
there is a miracle coming into his way.
So, in order to secure his victory
George Bush has to win any of the
Midwestern
State
, which is easier said than done.
Mr. Kerry has to win all the
Midwestern states and on top of it, secure the votes of
Nevada
,
New Mexico
, and
New Hampshire
(which I think will join Kerry�s column).
Kerry thus has an uphill battle but he might win these states.
If I am Kerry�s campaign manager, then I will hope that Bush won�t
get anymore state because he has secure all the states he was supposed to
grab.
If Mr. Bush comes out victorious
in
Ohio
, he will get 20 more EV and his total will electoral vote will come to 266,
which is shy of 5 additional votes. It
will be interesting to see where that additional 5 EV comes from.
Will it be
Nevada
or the state of
New Mexico
?
The election result looks like a
cliffhanger. Most likely, we will
know the result at the wee hours of the night.
I am an eternal optimist.
There is this chance that Kerry might win the rest barring
Ohio
. That will deny him the
presidency. It is not improbable
but whether it will happen or not is an open question.
My advise to M-M readers is hang
in there and see how this ends. By
the way, Mr. Kerry has not conceded this election yet.
As I was writing this piece, the secretary of state of
Ohio
was interviewed by the ABC YV network and the secretary say that it is a long
way to finish the vote counting and it may need hours or days.
The election is too close in
Ohio
. I will be watching the
development in the Internet with biting my fingers so to speak.
------------------------------
Dr.
A.H. Jaffor Ullah, a researcher and columnist, writes from
New Orleans
,
USA
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